{"id":9329,"date":"2021-05-29T13:13:33","date_gmt":"2021-05-29T20:13:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.movoto.com\/blog\/?p=9329"},"modified":"2021-05-29T13:13:33","modified_gmt":"2021-05-29T20:13:33","slug":"no-one-wins-with-climate-change-rising-temperatures-rising-premiums","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.movoto.com\/blog\/no-one-wins-with-climate-change-rising-temperatures-rising-premiums\/","title":{"rendered":"No one wins with climate change: rising temperatures, rising premiums"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.movoto.com\/reports\/climate-change.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/movotoblog\/2012\/11\/climate\/images\/map.png\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3>Click your state for more information on how climate change affects home values.<\/h3>\n<p>Here at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.movoto.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Movoto Real Estate<\/a>, we\u2019ve all been astonished by the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/kenrapoza\/2012\/11\/05\/one-week-later-the-cost-of-superstorm-sandy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">havoc of Superstorm Sandy<\/a>&#8211;at least one of the reports pins damage estimates between $30 and $50 billion. Cue the once-again heated chatter about global climate change.<br \/>\nSure, there are still many who have yet to be swayed by the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.skepticalscience.com\/argument.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">myths of climate change<\/a>. But whether you believe it or not, the Earth\u2019s climate is indeed changing unusually fast. Unfortunately such changes are affecting us in more and more ways&#8211;even the price we pay for our homes.<br \/>\nThe Movoto bloggers spent a week crunching numbers and found that a temperature rise of one-fourth of a degree Fahrenheit leads to a one percent increase in insurance premiums that year. It may not seem like much, but these price hikes are what experts would call a negative externality.<\/p>\n<h2>The Proof is in the Atmosphere<\/h2>\n<p>In economics the theory known as <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Externality\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">negative externality<\/a> says that use of a specific product by consumers has an unintended consequence for a third party.<br \/>\nOne well-known example of this is global climate change: As greenhouse gas emissions increase from burned coal, gas, and oil, they adversely affect the climate of the Earth, and thus all the people living on it.<br \/>\nThe same then can be said of the upward trend of insurance premiums. It functions as a negative cost of gas emissions, because homeowners (the third party) are forced to compensate for the subsequent rise in weather-related damages.<\/p>\n<h2>Why Climate Change Affects You, the Homeowner<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" title=\"climate1\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/movotoblog\/2012\/11\/takeawaypoints.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"317\" \/><br \/>\nThe spike in weather-related damages means more insurance claims, causing the insurance industry to cough up more dough than ever before to divvy up among homeowners with ruined properties.<br \/>\nOf course, because insurance companies are spending more, they need to make more to cover growing expenses. Here\u2019s where you, the homeowner, come in.<br \/>\nConsider your own premiums for home insurance (assuming you find it worthwhile to protect the investment you\u2019ve poured hundreds of thousands of dollars into). Odds are, your rates have gone up considerably in the past few years alone.<br \/>\nToday the national average for homeowner insurance premiums is <a href=\"http:\/\/articles.marketwatch.com\/2012-10-29\/finance\/34771993_1_insurance-premiums-home-insurers-insurance-information-institute\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$1,004<\/a>. That\u2019s a 5 percent increase since 2011, and 22 percent higher than premiums in 2007. While the cost of natural disasters isn\u2019t entirely to blame for the larger numbers, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationaljournal.com\/magazine\/climate-change-already-pinching-pocketbooks-20120920\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">many are arguing<\/a> it is a key culprit.<br \/>\nIntrigued, we did our own research to see just how directly climate change is impacting the cost of premiums for Americans.<\/p>\n<h2>Climate v. Premiums: Stateside<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.movoto.com\/reports\/climate-change.html\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" title=\"climatemap\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/movotoblog\/2012\/11\/smallmapforarticle.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"319\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nTo find the correlation between changes in temperature and insurance premiums, we had to do some digging.<br \/>\nFirst, we looked up homeowner insurance premium rates by state, using <a href=\"http:\/\/homeinsurance.com\/rates-in-your-state\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">HomeInsurance.com<\/a> for today\u2019s prices and a survey by the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iii.org\/facts_statistics\/homeowners-and-renters-insurance.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Insurance Information Institute<\/a> to compare rates in 2009.<br \/>\nWe used the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncdc.noaa.gov\/oa\/climate\/research\/cag3\/state.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">National Climate Data Center<\/a> to find the average yearly temperatures for each state, from 2009 to 2012 (for 2012, we used available data from January through October).<br \/>\nWe also gathered data on the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.globalchange.gov\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">projected temperature increases<\/a> by the end of this century. The smaller numbers are based on a lower emissions scenario, while the larger ones take into consideration higher emissions for the century.<br \/>\nMost regions show a projected increase average of around 5\u00b0 Fahrenheit by 2090:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Alaska:<\/strong> 5 to 13\u00b0F<\/li>\n<li><strong>Great Plains:<\/strong> 2.5 to 13\u00b0F<\/li>\n<li><strong>Islands:<\/strong> 2.5 to 6\u00b0F<\/li>\n<li><strong>Midwest:<\/strong> 5 to 10\u00b0F<\/li>\n<li><strong>Northeast:<\/strong> 6 to 12\u00b0F<\/li>\n<li><strong>Northwest:<\/strong> 3 to 10\u00b0F<\/li>\n<li><strong>Southeast:<\/strong> 4.5 to 9\u00b0F<\/li>\n<li><strong>Southwest:<\/strong> 4 to 10\u00b0F<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Alone, this doesn\u2019t sound too crazy. But the United States warmed at a rate of just <a href=\"http:\/\/www.epa.gov\/climatechange\/science\/indicators\/weather-climate\/temperature.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">1.25\u00b0F per century<\/a> from 1901 to 2009. That\u2019s much lower than the expected regional averages for the 21st century.<\/p>\n<h2>Around the States in Dollars<\/h2>\n<p>Using the above information plus the number of owner-occupied households and average listing price per state, we were able to approximate the numbers shown on our map.<br \/>\nBy our calculations, on average a 4-year increase of 1\u00b0F is accompanied by a 4 percent increase in premiums over a span of 4 years.<br \/>\nWith the knowledge that the average premium is about $1,000 per year, we figured that a 1 percent increase in price would be about $10 a year, or $1 per month (in 2012 dollars).<br \/>\nWhile that may not seem like much per household, the aggregate is much more impactful. At $1 a month, you could afford $250 in mortgage principle based on a 3 percent interest rate.<br \/>\nFrom our state-by-state breakdown of owner-occupied households, we know that the U.S. has a total of 75 million owner-occupied households (based on 2009 census data). Multiply that by the $250 per household to get a total of $18.7 billion in lost value for every one-quarter degree (Fahrenheit) temperature increase per year.<br \/>\nIn <a href=\"https:\/\/www.movoto.com\/real-estate\/homes-for-sale\/new-york.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">New York<\/a>, for example, the temperature has risen by 6.7 degrees Fahrenheit since 2009. Using this information in conjunction with the state&#8217;s owner-occupied households (3,955,000) and the average list price ($716,116), we calculated the state has lost more than $9.8 billion dollars in housing value in the past three years.<br \/>\nTo see the losses in housing value for your state, click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.movoto.com\/reports\/climate-change.htmlhttp:\/\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>.<br \/>\nNot convinced by our data? Here\u2019s some startling evidence.<\/p>\n<h2>We Did<del>n\u2019t<\/del> Start the Heating<\/h2>\n<p><div style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/iakoubtchik\/8143458133\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"climate\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/movotoblog\/2012\/11\/climate.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"530\" height=\"286\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Homes destroyed by Superstorm Sandy in Rockaway Beach, NY. Source: Flickr user iakoubtchik<\/p><\/div><br \/>\nRegardless of whether you believe in global climate change, there are some hard truths to digest about the state of the nation.<br \/>\nIn 2011, there were a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.insurancenetworking.com\/news\/insurance-climate-change-risk-ceres-30007-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">record number of major natural disasters<\/a> in the United States: 14 in all, including Tropical Storm Irene. Last year alone insurance companies lost $44 billion covering the damages from these disasters.<br \/>\nIn the 1980s, the average weather-related loss for the American insurance industry was around $3 billion per year. Now single disasters are costing more than that, and there are a higher percentage of weather disasters each year.<br \/>\nAccording to the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.noaanews.noaa.gov\/stories2011\/20111207_novusstats.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration<\/a>, 12 of 2011\u2019s weather disasters cost a billion dollars or more&#8211;breaking the record for the most billion-dollar events in a year in United States history.<br \/>\nEstimated overall losses due to natural disasters in the first half of 2012 total just over $14.6 million&#8211;a relatively low number until you realize that the aftereffects of Sandy can easily grow to 2,055 times that based on lowball estimates of damages.<br \/>\nEven if you don\u2019t care about how much everyone else has to pay, at the very least be concerned about where your own money is going. Sooner than you think an extra $1,000 of housing value (or more) will be funneled out of your pocket to help pay for the effects of those one-fourth of a degree increases in temperature.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Click your state for more information on how climate change affects home values. Here at Movoto Real Estate, we\u2019ve all been astonished by the havoc of Superstorm Sandy&#8211;at least one of the reports pins damage estimates between $30 and $50 billion. Cue the once-again heated chatter about global climate change. Sure, there are still many who have yet to be swayed by the myths of climate change. But whether you believe it or not, the Earth\u2019s climate is indeed changing unusually fast. Unfortunately such changes are affecting us in more and more ways&#8211;even the price we pay for our homes. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":36334,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[92],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-go-green","post--single"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>No One Wins With Climate Change: Rising Temperatures, Rising Premiums<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"With Superstorm Sandy on our minds, the Movoto bloggers took to the Web to figure out just how global climate change is affecting the cost of your home.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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