{"id":52879,"date":"2024-07-24T14:11:48","date_gmt":"2024-07-24T21:11:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.movoto.com\/blog\/?p=52879"},"modified":"2024-07-24T14:12:22","modified_gmt":"2024-07-24T21:12:22","slug":"housing-data-signals-a-favorable-shift-for-homebuyers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.movoto.com\/blog\/housing-data-signals-a-favorable-shift-for-homebuyers\/","title":{"rendered":"Housing data signals a favorable shift for homebuyers"},"content":{"rendered":"

On the surface, June’s housing data seems to follow familiar trends: existing home sales are down while median home prices have reached a record high. However, a closer look reveals a more optimistic outlook for buyers. This shift has prompted one of the leading housing economists to describe<\/a> it as a “slow shift from a seller’s market to a buyer’s market.”<\/p>\n

Are we seeing the first signs of a slow shift to a seller\u2019s market?<\/h4>\n

Total housing inventory climbed to 1.32 million units at the end of June, up 3.1% from the previous month\u2019s end, and 23.4% increase year-over-year, according to data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR),<\/a> released in their monthly Existing-Home sales report. Homes also spent an average of 22 days on market, up from 18 days on market the previous year.<\/p>\n

\u201cHomes are sitting on the market a bit longer and sellers are receiving fewer offers,\u201d said Lawrence Yun, the chief economist at NAR. \u201cMore buyers are insisting on home inspections and appraisal and inventory is rising nationally.\u201d<\/p>\n

The slow pace of sales is evident in the inventory numbers. Total existing-home sales declined 5.4% from May, reaching a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 3.89 million in June.<\/p>\n

The same report says the median existing-home price for all housing types reached $426,900, an all-time high and a signal that housing affordability continues to deteriorate in the wake of the post-pandemic housing boom. Despite that increase, Yun believes the rate of acceleration has peaked, and home prices will continue to move at a more normalized, steady pace.<\/p>\n

What\u2019s going on with mortgage rates<\/a>?<\/h4>\n

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropped to its lowest level since March, according to data from Freddie Mac,<\/a> which tracks mortgage rates with a weekly report. The average rate has been under 7% since the end of May, reaching as low as 6.7% for the week ending July 18.<\/p>\n

\"Headshot

Jerimiah Taylor, Movoto’s Chief Real Estate Officer<\/p><\/div>\n

\u201cIf you\u2019re watching the headlines, since September of 2021, mortgage interest rates have steadily climbed with the fastest 30-day mortgage rate increase in history in September 2021,\u201d Jerimiah Taylor, the Chief Real Estate Officer at Movoto<\/a> said. \u201cOver the last 10 weeks they have incrementally gotten a little better every day.\u201d<\/p>\n

The consensus expectation is that the Federal Reserve<\/a> will cut interest rates in September, supported by multiple indicators that inflation has cooled. However, those hoping for a swift return to all-time-low mortgage rates shouldn\u2019t get their hopes up. According to Taylor, a rate cut is already factored into current expectations.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere\u2019s already a lot of this priced in \u2014 that people think the Fed is going to cut in September,\u201d Taylor said.<\/p>\n

The impact won\u2019t be totally nominal, Taylor explained. The actual rate cut will create more certainty, closing the spread between 10-year Treasury Yield and the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, which is higher than normal due to uncertainty in the market.<\/p>\n

More new homes are being finished, but fewer are starting to be built<\/h4>\n

One of the biggest future indicators of housing inventory is the U.S. Census Bureau\u2019s new residential construction data,<\/a> which reported privately-owned housing completions were up 15.5% year-over-year in June.<\/p>\n

But two of the more forward-looking indicators showed annual declines, according to the data. Privately-owned housing competitions were down 4.4% year-over-year in June and building permits were down 3.1% year-over-year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

On the surface, June’s housing data seems to follow familiar trends: existing home sales are down while median home prices have reached a record high. However, a closer look reveals a more optimistic outlook for buyers. This shift has prompted one of the leading housing economists to describe it as a “slow shift from a seller’s market to a buyer’s market.” Are we seeing the first signs of a slow shift to a seller\u2019s market? Total housing inventory climbed to 1.32 million units at the end of June, up 3.1% from the previous month\u2019s end, and 23.4% increase year-over-year, according […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":52881,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[262,271,243,48],"tags":[136,273,277,275,274,272,86,276,278],"class_list":["post-52879","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-buying-selling","category-housing-market","category-mortgages-loans","category-real-estate","tag-affordability","tag-economics","tag-freddie-mac","tag-home-prices","tag-housing-data","tag-housing-market","tag-mortgage-rates","tag-movoto","tag-nar","post--single"],"yoast_head":"\nHousing data signals a favorable shift for homebuyers<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"June's housing market data is revealing a more optimistic outlook for 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